This question came up on Quora: 3 What percent chance is there that whole brain emulation or mind uploading to a neural prosthetic will be feasible by 2048? – Quora.
After seeing a number of skeptical responses, many claiming that mind uploading was inherently impossible or even incoherent, I posted the following reply:
I think mind uploading by 2048 is unlikely, but confident assertions that it will never happen strike me as illogical. And if it is possible by 2048, it is unlikely to be done by those who fold their arms and say it is impossible.
Every indication that we have points to the mind being a physical system within the brain. As such, there is no limitation in principle that should prevent us from eventually modelling and duplicating that functionality. It…
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